Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates US-Iran tensions, lowering ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30 at 15.5% YES.

Warsh's Senate testimony raised US 10-year Treasury yields and lowered Fed rate cut expectations. Rate cut by April 2026 at 0 ...

Strategy acquired 7,800 BTC worth $1.1 billion, and the market for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April now sits at 42.5% YES, ...

Bitcoin exchange reserves have dropped to 2.679 million BTC, the lowest since December 2017. The odds of Bitcoin reaching $80 ...

Bitcoin slipped under $75,500 as U.S.–Iran tensions escalated, pushing the odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April down to ...

Polymarket follows Kalshi into perps, teasing 10x leveraged trading access as prediction markets push deeper into crypto ...

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir thanked President Trump for extending the US-Iran ...

Military planners meet in London to discuss reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Ceasefire by April 30 at 18.5% YES.

Iran shifts to military-security governance amid rising instability risks. Regime fall by June 30 at 8.5% YES.

Iranian hardliner Ali Gholhaki rejected US demands on Tehran’s nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz management, citing these ...

Hezbollah attacked northern Israel, raising doubts about the ceasefire. Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at ...

JD Vance cancels his Islamabad trip as the US-Iran ceasefire nears expiration. Ceasefire end by April 21 at 5.5% YES.